Obama / McCain

obama-mccain-debateAn interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2008. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.

Obama 69,498,000 votes / McCain 59,948,000 votes / Equal votes for each 64,723,000

Multiple Obama’s  vote by 0.9313 / Multiple McCain’s vote by 1.0797 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?

The electoral votes of the states of Florida (27), Indiana (11), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20), and Virginia (13) go from Obama to McCain. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?

Obama got 365 electoral votes (69%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 279 electoral votes (52%).

McCain got 173 electoral votes (31%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 259 electoral votes (48%).

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50/50

image10An interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2012. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.

Obama 65,916,000 votes / Romney 60,934,000 votes / Equal votes for each 63,425,000

Multiple Obama’s  vote by 0.9622 / Multiple Romney’s vote by 1.0409 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?

The electoral votes of the states of Florida (29) and Ohio (18) go from Obama to Romney. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?

Obama got 332 electoral votes (62%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 285  electoral votes (53%).

Romney got 206 electoral votes (38%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 253 electoral votes (47%).

Presidential election 2016

At least theelectionflag field will be cut down on the Republican side. Who are the contenders; the DONALD!!, the Cruzship, Boy wonder, and the Guvernors, namely Bush and Kasick. The hunt and peck nature of the primaries truly distorts US presidential elections. One primary your up and the next your down. If there was one vote right across the nation you wouldn’t expect a candidate to win every state or each district. That seems what Clinton has to do and for a Republican at least always come close to winning. As I have said before, no one in their right mind would create a presidential nomination process like this if they had to do it from scratch.