An interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2004. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.
GW Bush 62,040,000 votes / Kerry 59,028,000 votes / Equal votes for each 60,534,000
Multiple Bush’s vote by 0.9757 / Multiple Kerry’s vote by 1.0255 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?
The electoral votes of the states of Ohio (20) and New Mexico (5) go from GW Bush to Kerry. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?
GW Bush got 286 electoral votes (53%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 261 electoral votes (48.5%).
Kerry got 252 electoral votes (47%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 277 electoral votes (51.5%).