GW Bush / Al Gore

bushgoreAn interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2000. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.

GW Bush 50,456,000 votes / Gore 51,000,000 votes / Equal votes for each 50,728,000

Multiple Bush’s  vote by 1.0054 / Multiple Gore’s vote by 0.9947 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?

The electoral votes of the states of Wisconsin (11) and New Mexico (5) go from Al Gore to GW Bush. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?

GW Bush got 271 electoral votes (50.3%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 287 electoral votes (53%).

Kerry got 267 electoral votes (49.7%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 251 electoral votes (47%).

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GW Bush / Kerry

bushkerryAn interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2004. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.

GW Bush 62,040,000 votes / Kerry 59,028,000 votes / Equal votes for each 60,534,000

Multiple Bush’s  vote by 0.9757 / Multiple Kerry’s vote by 1.0255 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?

The electoral votes of the states of Ohio (20) and New Mexico (5) go from GW Bush to Kerry. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?

GW Bush got 286 electoral votes (53%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 261 electoral votes (48.5%).

Kerry got 252 electoral votes (47%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 277 electoral votes (51.5%).

Obama / McCain

obama-mccain-debateAn interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2008. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.

Obama 69,498,000 votes / McCain 59,948,000 votes / Equal votes for each 64,723,000

Multiple Obama’s  vote by 0.9313 / Multiple McCain’s vote by 1.0797 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?

The electoral votes of the states of Florida (27), Indiana (11), North Carolina (15), Ohio (20), and Virginia (13) go from Obama to McCain. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?

Obama got 365 electoral votes (69%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 279 electoral votes (52%).

McCain got 173 electoral votes (31%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 259 electoral votes (48%).

50/50

image10An interesting question is do the Democrats have a built-in advantage in the electoral college? I came up with the idea to recalculate the last presidential elections so that the Republican and Democratic candidates got the same vote, an exact 50/50 popular vote split. So here’s the result for 2012. I calculated to the nearest thousand votes and to 4 decimal places.

Obama 65,916,000 votes / Romney 60,934,000 votes / Equal votes for each 63,425,000

Multiple Obama’s  vote by 0.9622 / Multiple Romney’s vote by 1.0409 / Do this for their vote in each state and the District of Columbia. What happens?

The electoral votes of the states of Florida (29) and Ohio (18) go from Obama to Romney. The change in electoral votes for the candidates?

Obama got 332 electoral votes (62%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 285  electoral votes (53%).

Romney got 206 electoral votes (38%) with a 50/50 popular vote split it’s 253 electoral votes (47%).